Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.337199 0.403963 0.485512 0.594151 0.737745 0.925006 1.194614
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.256007 0.339599 0.457552 0.643774 0.946320 1.451949 2.449870
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.201108 0.286211 0.419346 0.658830 1.121327 2.095981 4.809116
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.162581 0.243150 0.378972 0.648930 1.249806 2.812574 9.094272
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.141191 0.220590 0.363751 0.676333 1.478628 4.113154 21.485278
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.120589 0.194083 0.332913 0.657214 1.584820 5.286791 46.352078
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.107815 0.178644 0.318779 0.669616 1.797517 7.470405 151.326890
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.096017 0.162642 0.299227 0.660419 1.939709 9.890066 640.202630
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.088375 0.153244 0.291409 0.679547 2.217252 14.765146 25842.261689
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.082693 0.146726 0.288389 0.711726 2.603902 24.190662 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.077247 0.139767 0.282676 0.733699 2.989069 39.977480 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.072756 0.134124 0.278900 0.761211 3.472497 73.231689 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.068369 0.128207 0.273546 0.783152 4.002045 148.015182 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.064183 0.122181 0.266754 0.797825 4.548231 335.763874 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.059940 0.115472 0.256791 0.795939 4.982797 803.305742 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.055627 0.108079 0.243564 0.774948 5.209553 1856.800090 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.053248 0.104972 0.242042 0.806296 6.178241 28576.541819 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.049653 0.098523 0.229527 0.780868 6.370161 786105.144423 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.047390 0.095085 0.225500 0.795961 7.277553 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.044739 0.090406 0.216878 0.784186 7.749428 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.043068 0.088008 0.215003 0.808177 9.104864 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.041815 0.086533 0.215832 0.848758 11.246840 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.040401 0.084489 0.214440 0.876560 13.475501 NaN NaN